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Anthropogenic Global Warming: Is That a Hole in Your Theory, or Are You Just Happy To See Me? April 9, 2007

Posted by nukemhill in Environment.

Newsweek, not exactly known for its robust reporting, actually gets one right this time. They’ve published an opinion by noted MIT Climatologist Richard S. Lindzen. He basically shreds AGW theory:

Judging from the media in recent months, the debate over global warming is now over. There has been a net warming of the earth over the last century and a half, and our greenhouse gas emissions are contributing at some level. Both of these statements are almost certainly true. What of it? Recently many people have said that the earth is facing a crisis requiring urgent action. This statement has nothing to do with science. There is no compelling evidence that the warming trend we’ve seen will amount to anything close to catastrophe. What most commentators—and many scientists—seem to miss is that the only thing we can say with certainly about climate is that it changes. The earth is always warming or cooling by as much as a few tenths of a degree a year; periods of constant average temperatures are rare. Looking back on the earth’s climate history, it’s apparent that there’s no such thing as an optimal temperature—a climate at which everything is just right. The current alarm rests on the false assumption not only that we live in a perfect world, temperaturewise, but also that our warming forecasts for the year 2040 are somehow more reliable than the weatherman’s forecast for next week.

This is just his warm-up. Read the whole thing. He eviscerates the scare-mongers, and basically brings logic and science where none had dared tread before. It’s a great read. I’m sure it will be dismissed by all who’ve already made up their minds (or who are making loads of cash off of the current craze–and believe me, there’s a ton of money to be made by advocating for AGW). For the more critically minded folks out there, this is a must-read.

By the way, that last highlighted point is one I’ve been making for years now.  I’m amazed at how people have been so willing to take the long-term forecast models at face value, when we can’t even go beyond a couple of days without losing incredible accuracy.  It boggles my mind, actually.  People’s critical facilities have atrophied.



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